EPL for the weekend of 10/2

quantumleap · Sep 30, 2004

Aston Villa +160 over Blackburn [3-way betting] (1/2 unit)
Aston Villa/Blackburn +240 tie [3-way betting] (1/2 unit)
Aston has 4 ties in 7 games. Blackburn has 4 losses in 7 games. I'm going on the bet that Blackburn doesn't win.

Everton/Tottenham under 2.5 -133 (*)
These are 2 of the lowest-scoring, lowest-allowing teams in the league.

Bolton pk -111 over West Brom
West Brom is getting too much respect here for being at home. Bolton is the much better team.

Newcastle pk -108 over Birmingham
Newcastle struggled early on but has improved in their last 3 games. Birmingham is another team getting too much respect for being at home. Newcastle is 2nd in the league in scoring while Birmingham is tied for last.

Middlesbrough +1.5 -113 over Man Utd.
Middlesbrough has played good teams closely. Man Utd. has never won by more than one goal in the league this season.

Fulham pk -111 over Crystal Palace
I love when Crystal Palace plays a non-top 5 team at home. They get too much respect for being at home. Their record there is 0-3.

booze · Sep 30, 2004

Tough weekend card, not crazy about any of the games. Although I think you're dead on with the Bolton play. Not sure about the Newcastle one however, they are in much better form as of late, but Birmingham as a home dog is always a live play. The only total I thought was low was the Man City/Southampton # of 2.5 u-130. I think this one's got the potential to be a shootout, hope Phillips, Anelka, etc can find the back of the net a few times.

Tottenham @ Everton, big match, like the way Tottenham has played under Santini....I'll take a shot with Robbie Keane & co.
Liverpool/Chelsea should hopefully be another entertaining match...rooting for Liverpool, I'll take a shot on the draw and hope Chelsea suffers a little letdown after yesterday's Champions League performance.

all small plays (3 way betting) -maybe a round robin including
1. Liverpool/Chelsea draw (+240)
2. Man City/Saints over 2.5 (+110)
3. Birmingham win (+160)
4. Tottenham win (+190)

Good luck as always Quantum!!

quantumleap · Sep 30, 2004

booze:

It's nice to have some feedback. I may have to re-assess the Newcastle/Birmingham match. I see now that Newcastle's recent success has been against weaker teams.

Good luck.

quantumleap · Oct 1, 2004

Chelsea/Liverpool under 2.5 -125
Even though Chelsea beat Porto 3-1 in the CL match, this matchup in the EPL is quite different. Chelsea has been very tough in the league only giving up 1 goal in league play while only scoring 7 in 7 games.

quantumleap · Oct 2, 2004

1st-day results:

Aston 2, Blackburn 2 (1/2 win, 1/2 loss)

Tottenham 1, Everton 0 (win)

West Brom 2, Bolton 1 (loss)

1 1/2 wins, 1 1/2 loss +0.38

quantumleap · Oct 3, 2004

2nd-day results:

Newcastle 2, Birmingham 2 (draw)

Middlesbrough 1, Man Utd. 1 (win)

Chelsea 1, Liverpool 0 (win)

Totals for the week so far:

3 1/2 wins, 1 1/2 loss, 1 draw +2.07

booze · Oct 4, 2004

awesome pick with Boro, they could've easily won the game outright!

quantumleap · Oct 4, 2004

Thanks booze. I have been following them all season and they always seem to be close.

I see Fulham is now at -136. I think I'll do some exact scores coming up.

quantumleap · Oct 4, 2004

Wow! Crystal up 2-0 in the 82nd minute.

On bet365.com they have it at 1.65 for under 2.5. I would bet that at this point. I think I'll get an account there and bet some live games.